Ian Bremer -

 https://www.gzeromedia.com/quick-take/who-benefits-from-trump-tariff-wall

Trade Deficits and Manufacturing Jobs (Germany, US)

 https://www.mauldineconomics.com/frontlinethoughts/the-tariff-recession

“Between 2000 and 2024, Germany’s trade balance as a share of its gross domestic product grew from a deficit of 1.5% to a surplus of 5.8%. During this same period, the country’s share of factory jobs fell from 20% to 16%. A 2021 study found that the decline in manufacturing job shares was similar in both US and German industrial hubs despite the stark differences in national trade balances.”