Sunday, September 12, 2021

Labor Shortage Feedback - Brook Sutherland - btbirkett@gmail.com - Gmail

The earnings crunch is getting real - btbirkett@gmail.com - Gmail

Labor Shortage Feedback

Thanks to everyone who sent responses to the question posed in my last newsletter about why the U.S. labor shortage may be uniquely worse than other parts of the world. The comments were very thoughtful and I appreciated hearing your perspectives. Here are some of the best ideas and comments I received:

  • The U.S. puts too much emphasis on four-year college degrees as the gold standard. This creates a negative aura around careers in manual labor. There’s a false perception that brick masons and electricians — jobs that require a significant amount of technical skill and are usually well-paid — are somehow inferior to people who push papers around a desk simply because the latter group spent more time in a classroom. In a social-media obsessed world, these image problems may matter more than they used to. Other countries do a better job promoting vocational training. 
  • Unions traditionally played a major role in establishing and organizing apprenticeship programs that provided a reliable pipeline of U.S. workers to manufacturing companies. The decline of unions in the U.S. weakened that infrastructure and companies haven’t done enough to replace it.
  • Not all Covid stimulus is the same. While U.S. airlines got special payroll protection dispensation, manufacturers were free to lay off workers as they pleased during the pandemic and many of them did so in abundance. Enhanced unemployment insurance helped cushion the financial blow but the nature of the aid also meant there was nothing tying workers to their former position. It doesn’t take much of a mental leap to think that workers cast aside during the crisis weren’t eager to return to the same company, or even the same industry. In contrast, other countries crafted pandemic assistance in a way that kept workers connected to their employer and in a position to be called back as the economy rebounded. 
  • Younger workers want more flexibility. A 9-to-5 job on a manufacturing line can’t compete with the explosion of money-making opportunities in the gig economy and through social media. These may not be the most stable or well-paying jobs, but they allow people to set their own hours, and that may mean more to the younger generation.
  • Marijuana use may be keeping otherwise eligible workers from joining the manufacturing labor force. As more states legalize pot, removing this from drug screenings could help in the hiring process. Amazon.com Inc. is reportedly betting on this as a way to ease the current shortage of delivery drivers. The e-commerce giant found that screening for marijuana use reduces the prospective worker pool by up to 30%, whereas dropping this from the application process (and advertising the change) can boost the number of interested candidates by as much as 400%, according to correspondence reviewed by Bloomberg News. 



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Saturday, September 4, 2021

Cultural Revolution 2.0 - btbirkett@gmail.com - Gmail

Cultural Revolution 2.0 - btbirkett@gmail.com - Gmail

... Xi’s revolution is top-down: the last thing he wants is chaos on the streets.

What does he intend, then? As my Bloomberg colleague Malcolm Scott reports, the pilot project for the economic future Xi imagines is Zhejiang province, one of the wealthiest parts of China (incomes there are approaching levels in southern Europe) and a hotbed of private enterprise. Zhejiang is also Xi’s power base; he was party secretary there before ascending to higher office in Beijing.

The evidence from Zhejiang suggests that on economic matters Xi is not Mao, in the sense that he wants to redirect the energies of entrepreneurs, not eliminate them as a class. The emphasis is on state control.



Friday, September 3, 2021

Biden's mistakes in Afghanistan were not "dereliction of duty"

Biden's mistakes in Afghanistan were not "dereliction of duty"

HomeLight closes on $100M Series D at a $1.6B valuation as revenue surges | TechCrunch

HomeLight closes on $100M Series D at a $1.6B valuation as revenue surges | TechCrunch

Over the years, like many other real estate tech platforms, HomeLight has evolved its model. HomeLight’s initial product focused on using artificial intelligence to match consumers and real estate investors to agents. Since then, the company has expanded to also providing title and escrow services to agents and home sellers and matching sellers with iBuyers. In July 2019, HomeLight acquired Eave as an entry into the (increasingly crowded) mortgage lending space.

Thursday, September 2, 2021

How Rich Americans Plan to Escape Biden Tax Hikes: PPLI Is a Perfect Loophole - Bloomberg

How Rich Americans Plan to Escape Biden Tax Hikes: PPLI Is a Perfect Loophole - Bloomberg

Taxes

The Very Rich Already Have a Plan to Escape Biden's Tax Increase

A strategy called private placement life insurance is a loophole that one policy expert says is ‘entirely legal, easy to exploit, and politically very hard to close.’

By 

Ben Steverman

September 2, 2021, 1:00 PM GMT+1

 

Wealthy Americans are scrambling for places to hide from plans by Democrats to hike their taxes. Many on Wall Street think they’ve found just the thing.

A niche strategy called private placement life insurance, or PPLI, was already gaining popularity among the very rich for its ability to shield fortunes from taxes. Now some advisers to the top 0.1% say it’s dominating conversations with their clients.

The threat of higher taxes — what President Biden calls making billionaires and millionaires pay their “fair share” — isn’t the only factor sparking interest in PPLI. A little-noticed change in U.S. insurance law at the end of 2020 makes the tool more powerful, at the same time that competition among insurance carriers and advisory firms is giving rich investors more flexibility, lower costs and a wider choice of products on PPLI platforms.

As long as assets are held in a PPLI policy, they escape taxes. When a policyholder dies, heirs inherit the PPLI’s contents tax-free. Those perks strike at the heart of Biden’s plans to get the very wealthy to pay more taxes on their investments, especially on capital gains that currently aren’t levied if assets are held until death.

The Taxes Biden Wants to Hike

The major elements of Biden's tax plan would raise nearly $3.5 trillion

Source: U.S. Treasury

“Private placement life insurance poses a serious obstacle to President Biden’s goal of guaranteeing that high-income individuals pay tax on large gains at least once per lifetime,” said Daniel Hemel, a law professor at University of Chicago, who’s been talking with Democrats in Washington about ways to limit the strategy. “PPLI is a massive loophole — entirely legal, easy to exploit, and politically very hard to close.”

While more and more assets are flowing into the PPLI strategy, it remains a slim slice of the trillions of dollars held in portfolios of the richest Americans. The American Council of Life Insurers, the industry’s trade group, doesn’t even track PPLI policies. If Biden and Democrats are successful in passing a reconciliation bill that hikes taxes, the strategy may go more mainstream, at least among those with the most capital gains to protect from the Internal Revenue Service.

“Clients are very interested in this right now,” said Tara Thompson Popernik, director of research for Bernstein Private Wealth Management’s wealth planning and analysis group. “It takes some education to get them to wrap their heads around the concept, because it’s not just buying life insurance.”

PPLI has its drawbacks. Strict and very complicated rules determine whether a PPLI policy qualifies as life insurance — an important distinction because that’s what gives these accounts their tax benefits. The policies can fail if not funded properly over time. Once assets are inside a PPLI, they can’t be taken out without a big tax bill — though they can be borrowed against or rolled into another insurance product.

IRS rules also require policyholders give up day-to-day control of their PPLI’s investment choices — a dealbreaker for some — and the portfolio needs to be diversified in particular ways.

Despite the hassles, qualifying as life insurance comes with unique perks. Death benefits, paid when an insured person passes away, avoid all taxes, and gains on investments held within an insurance policy build up tax-free.

The tool can also be combined with other loopholes: Family offices, for example, can buy PPLI policies inside dynasty trusts, which are vehicles that let multiple generations of wealthy heirs avoid the estate tax.

To exploit its advantage to the maximum, advisers try to stuff as much money into a PPLI while paying as little as possible in insurance costs. “Really the point is to not pay a lot for the insurance piece,” Thompson Popernik said.

The bare minimum you’ll need to start a PPLI policy is about $2 million, advisers say, but it’s far more common for investors to devote at least $5 million to the strategy, enough to make the administrative and legal startup costs worthwhile. Withdrawing money from a PPLI while you’re still alive is taxable, so you should only deploy money that you’re sure you’ll never need.

In other words, you need to be extremely wealthy to even think about a tax shelter like PPLI. “Rich people can do things other people can’t,” said Edward Gordon, president of Preservation Capital Partners. Gordon said he’s “so busy it’s not even funny” advising clients on PPLI policies.

Relaxed Requirements

A Covid-relief law signed by President Trump in December makes PPLI even more attractive. The package contained a provision that changes the interest rate assumptions on life insurance policies. The politically powerful life insurance industry had argued the current rules were unworkable in a low-interest rate environment, so Congress relaxed the requirement for policies to qualify for favorable tax treatment.

Though lobbyists’ primary goal was tweaking the rules affecting ordinary life insurance products, the upshot is that the wealthy can now put more money into a PPLI policy while paying less to an insurance carrier for life coverage. “You want to maximize every dollar you can put into the policy,” said David Kleinhandler, principal at life insurance advisory firm AskVest. “There’s a lot of opportunity for people to take advantage of these new regulations.”

Bottom of Form

Even as PPLI’s popularity has spread, it’s primarily pitched to clients as a place to put investments, like hedge funds or credit products, that generate lots of income taxable at the top rate. These can surpass 50% when you include the top federal ordinary rate of 37% and state and local income taxes in California and New York City. If all investments are subject to the ordinary rates -- as Biden has proposed for those earning more than $1 million per year -- then a broader array of investments make sense in PPLI policies.

Democrats in Congress, who are beginning the process of turning Biden’s tax plan into legislation, disagree on how much to hike rates on capital gains.

Because of the potential pitfalls and complexity of PPLI, clients who are initially interested sometimes end up thinking twice before committing their money, advisers say.

“This can get very complicated, and there is a percentage of our clients who value simplicity above all things,” said Jon Ripchick, wealth strategist at Goldman Sachs Ayco Personal Financial Management, which offers financial planning to corporate executives.

Carriers providing PPLI policies have tried to attract customers by making their platforms easier to use. “Fees are coming down,” Ripchick said. “Investment options are becoming more competitive.”

Market Leader

Lombard International, owned by Blackstone Inc., dominates the market, but several other firms are now offering the product. To improve their pitch to the wealthy and their most-trusted advisers, some providers are now allowing those advisers to keep control of the PPLI investments. To comply with the rules, PPLI assets need to go in a separate account that clients technically don’t have any input on. But clients often choose their own adviser to manage that fund, and set goals for how they want it invested.

Hemel, of the University of Chicago, said one option to stop the wealthy from using PPLI to escape taxes is to cap the size of life-insurance death benefits. Another is to write stricter IRS regulations, perhaps further limiting the control that policyholders are allowed to have over investment choices.

Otherwise, Hemel has warned other tax policy experts, PPLI is a “relatively easy workaround that will allow high-net-worth individuals to generate virtually unlimited amounts of investment income while avoiding capital gains taxes during life and at death.”