Tuesday, July 31, 2018

U.S. Expats Face Hammering From New Tax Rules By Joe Light



https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-07-31/living-abroad-isn-t-so-idyllic-for-u-s-expats-facing-new-taxes

Business
U.S. Expats Face
Hammering From New Tax Rules
By Joe Light
July 31, 2018, 9:00 AM GMT+1
 Levies aimed at big
corporations also punish small business
 Expats may renounce
citizenship or just become tax evaders

Photographer: Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg

The four-employee business of Travis Baldwin, who hasn’t
lived in the U.S. for nearly a decade, is about to get hammered by a pair of
tax provisions that were aimed at corporate behemoths like Microsoft Corp.

A Republican law signed by President Donald Trump in
December created new taxes for corporations that have shifted their profits
offshore for years. But unlike other provisions in the bill, these
international changes don’t set a floor on annual gross receipts for when they
kick in -- meaning Baldwin, who owns an industrial design company in Bristol,
U.K., is on the hook even though he says his business has never made more than
$100,000 annually.

The two taxes U.S. expatriates who own businesses abroad are
most concerned about: a one-time repatriation
levy of as much as 17.5 percent
on old foreign profits and an annual
levy
called Gilti -- or global
intangible low-tax income -- on foreign profits going forward
.

“It’s terrifying,” said Baldwin, who added that he’s had
trouble finding a local tax attorney who even understands the new law. “It’s
just gotten so complicated. I feel like I have this burden that no one else
has.”

The tax changes are likely to convince some that it’s no longer worth keeping their U.S.
citizenship
, according to Nora Newton Muller, who helps run the tax
committee for the Association of Americans Resident Overseas. Other U.S.
citizens, who haven’t been paying U.S. taxes but are thinking of becoming
compliant, might decide just to stay off the radar, she said.

It’s hard to know exactly how many people will be affected,
since the Internal Revenue Service doesn’t release numbers of how many expats
own businesses abroad. The AARO, a Paris-based association, estimates there are
nearly 9 million expats, a portion of whom own a business.

The Republican law slashed the corporate tax rate to 21
percent from 35 percent, and shifted the U.S. to a system of taxing its
companies on their domestic profits only. Those changes required guardrails --
like the repatriation tax for profits stashed offshore since 1986, and the
Gilti tax, to ensure multinationals pay at least something on their future
overseas profits.

Expat business owners, like business-owners in the U.S.,
often pay themselves a salary that’s only a fraction of their profits, keeping
the rest in their companies for retirement or a rainy day. The new law as it
stands would require expats to pay the one-time repatriation tax on their
profits, even though in reality the money is never returning to the U.S. To pay
the taxes, many expats will have to give themselves a dividend from their
business, triggering more local taxes.

Baldwin said he found out about the changes from a Facebook
group for expats. He hired a firm in Florida that specializes in expat tax
issues, but the firm hasn’t yet told him how much he’ll owe for sure. So far,
the firm has estimated his tax bill and preparation costs for next year could
total an additional $20,000.

Repatriation Delay
Expat business owners say they’ve had trouble getting
lawmakers to pay attention to the issue, since few, if any, have a critical
mass of expats who vote in their district. Supporters of changing the law have
been trying to find a champion in the Senate.

Monte Silver, a tax attorney from Santa Monica, California,
who owns a practice in Israel, traveled to Washington earlier this year to try
to convince lawmakers to take up the cause.

“They said, ‘Monte, the problem here is we have these little
districts. We don’t know on a district level how many of these people live in
my district. Go to the Senate,’” said Silver.

Silver said he’s gotten a Republican senator on the Finance
Committee, which handles tax bills, to promise to take up the issue, but
declined to name the lawmaker. The attorney said he’s also met with Treasury
Department officials, but they’ve said there’s not much they can do since a fix would have to come from lawmakers.

Struggling expat business owners got one win last month. The
IRS said it would let businesses that owe less than $1 million in
repatriation taxes wait until next year to pay the first installment
. The
payment had originally been due in April 2018.

But the delay doesn’t affect the Gilti tax, which business
owners should have already started paying estimated payments on. Individuals
will face higher rates for the Gilti tax than corporations, and find the levy
applies to a broader swath of their profits since they can’t take advantage of
foreign credits.

‘Tax Violators’
Senate Finance Committee Chairman Orrin Hatch, a Utah
Republican, is working with the administration to implement the new policies
and will “continue to meet with members, taxpayers and other stakeholders to
address any concerns with the new law and examine potential changes,” Julia
Lawless, a spokeswoman for the panel, said in an email.

An IRS spokeswoman declined to comment.

Alicia Vincent, who helps run a furniture business in
Montfort l’Amaury, France, said she’s written letters to lawmakers in her
native Texas and recruited family and friends living in the state to join her.
She said her accountant, who’s charging about $350 an hour to calculate the new
tax, estimates her company’s effective tax rate will be almost 70 percent
between France’s taxes and that of the new U.S. regime.

“How can you pay 70 percent in taxes? You just don’t make
profits? Eventually we’d close up our business. It’s just not worth it,”
Vincent said.

For those unwilling to close up shop, Silver says they just
won’t pay if the Gilti tax isn’t modified.

“It’s clear what’s going to happen,” Silver said. “We’re
going to become tax violators.”


Orange County portrait: Low wages, child poverty, costly housing – Orange County Register

Orange County portrait: Low wages, child poverty, costly housing – Orange County Register

The Pension Hole for U.S. Cities and States Is the Size of Japan’s Economy - WSJ

The Pension Hole for U.S. Cities and States Is the Size of Japan’s Economy - WSJ



The Pension Hole for U.S. Cities and States Is the Size of Japan’s Economy

Many retirement funds could face insolvency unless governments increase taxes, divert funds or persuade workers to relinquish money they are owed









  • For the past century, a public pension was an ironclad promise. Whatever else happened, retired policemen and firefighters and teachers would be paid.
    That is no longer the case.
    Many cities and states can no longer afford the unsustainable retirement promises made to millions of public workers over many years. By one estimate ...

    At the Expense of U.S. Tech, a European Star Is Born - WSJ

    At the Expense of U.S. Tech, a European Star Is Born - WSJ



    The world’s 700 million iPhone users will look at the European Union antitrust action against Google’s Android phones and say “Huh?” Even veteran users of Android phones will be little more than bemused if they soon must spend a few extra minutes to install the world’s most popular apps, such as Google’s search and map apps. This is no biggie: The average Android user already downloads 50 apps to his phone that weren’t preinstalled by the manufacturer.
    Only on one group would there be any immediate effect, and it would be...

    Monday, July 30, 2018

    From Brexit to Breferendum by Anatole Kaletsky - Project Syndicate

    From Brexit to Breferendum by Anatole Kaletsky - Project Syndicate



    ...In 2016, the British people voted to leave the European Union while keeping “the exact same benefits” they enjoyed as EU members. David Davis, May’s former minister responsible for negotiating Brexit with the EU, used that phrase repeatedly in Parliament, and it was then taken up enthusiastically by May herself. The promises by former foreign secretary Boris Johnson, the chief Brexit campaigner, were even more fulsome: Britons would have complete freedom to live, work, and study throughout Europe; untrammeled access to the EU single market; and full participation in whatever political institutions a post-Brexit government might feel like cherry-picking from the EU orchard. In short, the 2016 referendum was a vote for two plus two equals five.



    ...the main opposition Labour Party now sees a realistic chance of bringing down May’s government and triggering a general election by uniting with either hardline Brexiteers or pro-European Conservative rebels to kill whatever Brexit plan May ultimately puts to Parliament. 



    ...Exit Brexit” is the official policy of the Liberals, the Greens, and the Scottish National Party. 

    Sunday, July 29, 2018

    Gay Groups and Big Tech Challenge Israel’s Status Quo - Bloomberg

    Gay Groups and Big Tech Challenge Israel’s Status Quo - Bloomberg



    Politics & Policy

    Gay Groups and Big Tech Challenge Israel’s Status Quo

    A controversial new law has united a powerful coalition that could help revive Israel’s left.
    New coalition. Photographer: JACK GUEZ/AFP/Getty Images
    On July 22, an estimated 100,000 Israelis gathered in Tel Aviv’s Rabin Square to rally for gay rights. It was one of the largest political demonstrations in the country’s history; if the same share of America's population turned out, there would be 3 million protesters in the streets. It may be the Israeli left's best chance in a while to revitalize its electoral hopes.
    The proximate cause of the demonstration was opposition to a new law that offers public financing for parental surrogacy to straight couples and single women, but not to male homosexual couples. The gay community used the occasion to stage an unsuspected display of power.
    The event was put together by a small cadre of activists under the leadership of a gay rights umbrella group, the Aguda. But they didn’t do it alone. They had the support of virtually the entire Israeli hi-tech sector. 
    The Israeli division of Apple gave their employees a paid day off to attend the demonstration, and closed its stores in a show of solidarity. “One of Israel’s greatest gifts is the creativity, diversity and talent of its entire people,” said a company statement. “Unfortunately, recent legislation passed by the Knesset undermines those values. Apple will always maintain its values of fairness, dignity and mutual respect, and we stand with all of our employees seeking equality under the law.”
    IBM Israel explained its decision to support the rally in equally lofty terms. “No one should be denied one of the most basic human rights – the right to start a family – for being who they are. We support IBMers who wish to stand in solidarity with the LGBT community in advocating for legislation that is inclusive of ALL."
    Some of the tech giants went beyond giving workers a day off and a pat on the back. Microsoft Israel and Mellanox, an Israeli-American supplier of computer networking products, each offered $16,400 to employees to help finance expensive foreign surrogacy.
    This kind of support had a ripple effect. The broader Israeli business sector, which has traditionally been unwilling to frighten away customers with principled stands, found their backbone. El Al and IsrAir, Teva and Soda Stream, the major cell phone providers, retail chains and credit card companies all took a stand for the gay community.
    The Aguda leaders insisted that theirs was a non-partisan movement. They merely encouraged supporters to work from within by joining the political party of their choice. This was disingenuous. Israel’s LGBT movement, like its American counterpart, has been strongly allied with the progressive parties that make up the parliamentary opposition.
    The governing Likud Party does, in fact, have members who sympathize with LGBT causes. According to a poll published on Wednesday, 51 percent of Likud voters were in sympathy with the demonstration. But for now that sympathy has little practical meaning because Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s party is captive to its ultra-orthodox coalition partners on gay rights and other social issues.
    The Aguda leaders set forth six basic demands, which tuned out to be fairly pedestrian, including more shelters for vulnerable LGBT people, stiffer penalties for anti-gay crimes and a publicly financed educational campaign for tolerance. Their demands highlighted the fact that gay rights are already well established in Israeli law and custom.
    LGBT soldiers serve without controversy in every branch and rank of the military. Israel proudly brands itself as a gay friendly tourist country, and has made its annual Pride Week the closest thing to national mardi gras. The country has laws banning workplace discrimination and penalties for hate crimes. LGBT parents have adoption rights. And it is only a matter of time before gay males get equal surrogacy rights. 
    The LGBT organizers are now in the anomalous position of commanding a vast army without a suitable mountain to capture. They are aware of this, which is why, a few hours after their press conference, Aguda added a seventh and much more revolutionary demand: secular marriage.
    Breaking the Orthodox rabbinical monopoly over marriage (and divorce) is popular with both gay and straight Israelis. It is the kind of big issue that challenges the entire theocratic web of special rights enjoyed by the orthodox minority and which could decide elections.
    This hasn’t escaped the notice of politicians on the left. Tzippi Livni, the newly crowned leader of the parliamentary opposition, left Sunday’s demonstration already understanding this. “I haven’t seen energy like this in years,” she told reporters. “This is just the beginning.”
    Before switching sides, Livni cut her political teeth on the victorious Likud campaign of 1977. She saw firsthand how an ideologically inspired, energetic and organized cadre of rebellious activists can take control of a major party and put it in office.
    Israel’s founding Labor Party has gone downhill ever since that first electoral loss. It lost its labor federation ground troops and prestigious kibbutz ideology to the temptations of market capitalism. The party’s core of enthusiastic peace activists found themselves without a Palestinian partner and, following the second intifada, settled into gloomy resignation. The party is led by lackluster figures who are resigned to losing before they begin.
    Sunday's demonstration of strength could be a catalyst for change on the left. The LGBT’s energy, and its direct challenge to the rabbis, gives it a leadership position among Israel’s fragmented civil rights organizations. And its de facto coalition with the hi-tech sector is important. Silicon Wadi, Israel's version of Silicon Valley, while disclaiming any partisan agenda, lends prestige, financial support and unabashed secular egalitarianism to any cause it embraces. A left-leaning political party that captures both has a fighting chance of emerging from the doldrums of the past two decades.
    It is axiomatic that mainstream Israeli voters put national security first. To win an election, the LGBT-Hi-tech coalition would have to be at once socially conscious and sufficiently hawkish. That's not an easy balancing act, but it's suddenly conceivable.
      This column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its owners.
      To contact the author of this story:
      Zev Chafets at zchafets@gmail.com
      To contact the editor responsible for this story:
      Therese Raphael at traphael4@bloomberg.net

      Saturday, July 28, 2018

      Endgame Strategizing | Mauldin Economics

      Endgame Strategizing | Mauldin Economics



      ...The Great Reset will rearrange much of the world’s wealth and some people will see their financial condition change quickly, either for worse or better. There will be some enormously positive opportunities.



      ...If you are holding the traditional 60/40 portfolio, thinking it will get you to the other side of The Great Reset, I think you will be disappointed.