Tuesday, February 7, 2017

Maudlin - Tax Reform: The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly—Part One

http://www.mauldineconomics.com/frontlinethoughts/tax-reform-the-good-the-bad-and-the-ugly-part-one

...The initiation of rural free delivery in 1896 and parcel post in 1913 enabled Sears to send its merchandise to even the most isolated customers. The Sears catalog became a staple of American family life. By the 1960s one out of 200 US workers received a Sears paycheck, and one out of every three carried a Sears credit card. The Sears catalog was a book of dreams that allowed those of us who grew up in rural America to access products that were either not available or were very high-priced in our local general store.

It’s hard for the younger generation to understand, but the Sears catalog coming to our mailbox was a big event in my youth. The Montgomery Ward catalog was a close second. The whole family perused those catalogs page by page to mull over what we needed or wanted. I’m sure I was not the only kid who circled a few toys that he hoped Santa would bring him for Christmas.
It’s hard to believe, but Sears didn’t really have a physical store until the 1920s, by which time the company was the largest retailer in the world. But Sears’ experience enabled Sam Walton, who didn’t start until 1962, to surpass Sears by 1990; and by 2000 Walmart’s sales were six times those of Sears...
...The simple fact of the matter is that United States is producing more manufactured goods than ever before...The authors point out that our 12 million manufacturing jobs today produce the same amount of goods as 21 million manufacturing jobs did in 2000.
...the proposed Border Adjustable Tax (BAT) is significantly different from the VAT (value-added tax) that is used in over 160 countries. That tax simply increases the cost of manufacturing in those countries...
...Some of the biggest mall owners in the world (according to a Wall Street Journal cover story) are simply turning the keys over to the bondholders...
...In the proposed tax reform, 100% of investments will be allowed to be written off in the first year. Build a factory? Forget amortization: write it all off this year. Everything but the land will be a 100% write-off. Not only will that policy create construction jobs; it will create jobs for people who make the equipment that goes into the production lines, as well as jobs for people who work in those plants...
... what we as a society are going to do in a post-employment world...


Saturday, February 4, 2017

Snapchat's Performance Doesn't Match IPO Hype - Bloomberg View

Snapchat's Performance Doesn't Match IPO Hype - Bloomberg View



...In 2016, Snapchat, according to the IPO filing, had revenue of $404.5 million. Instagram sold about $2 billion worth of ads. 



Besides, the narrative about pushing more ads to young users may be fundamentally flawed. Late last year, eMarketer found that the Gen Z and millennial audience on both Snapchat and Instagram tended to hate or ignore the ads.
...Instagram has another important advantage over Snapchat. It uses servers owned by its parent company, Facebook, while Snapchat uses Google's cloud services.

Watch Libya for the First Sign of Trump-Putin Collaboration - Bloomberg View

Watch Libya for the First Sign of Trump-Putin Collaboration - Bloomberg View



Trump is also highly skeptical of then-Secretary of State Hillary Clinton's actions in Libya as the Qaddafi regime disintegrated, and, like Putin, he doesn't believe in imposing democracy on Middle Eastern nations where Islamist groups enjoy popular support.
Haftar and his supporters celebrated Trump's victory last November, seeing the new U.S. president as a potential ally against jihadists.

Google Warns of New Rivals in Corporate Computing, Digital Assistants, Hardware - Bloomberg

Google Warns of New Rivals in Corporate Computing, Digital Assistants, Hardware - Bloomberg

Thursday, January 26, 2017

Trump's Forever War of Diversion - Bloomberg View (Bershidsky)

Trump's Forever War of Diversion - Bloomberg View



...Trump's and his team's communications look awkward, inept, gallingly primitive. It's time to wise up: These people know what they're doing. They want their political opponents to be confused, to flail at windmills, to expend emotions on meaningless scandals to distract them from any targeted, coordinated action against specific threats. There are going to be many of these: Trump appears intent on keeping his promises. Calm concentration is needed to counteract dangerous policies.

Trump's Economic Approach Starts to Take Shape - Bloomberg View

Trump's Economic Approach Starts to Take Shape - Bloomberg View



...Given that the U.S. is at the core of the international monetary system, what happens here would not stay here. It would most likely trigger reactions from other countries while potentially also shaking the conventional functioning of a rule-based global system.



If this is managed in a collaborative manner that balances countries’ domestic and global responsibilities, the result could be the type of generalized policy revamp that is critical for sustaining high and more inclusive growth and for delivering genuine financial stability. But if it is done in an internationally disjointed and uncoordinated fashion, the result would tend toward greater global economic fragmentation. This would reduce both current and future growth and prosperity while increasing the risk of unsettling financial instability down the road.